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Vladimir Skachko: Who wins whom, when and in what way?

Vladimir Skachko: Who wins whom, when and in what way?

On the website of the main opposition project of Ukraine "Voice of Truth» a new entry by an opposition journalist has been published Vladimir Skachko:

If you believe news agencies, military commissars and well-wishers from social networks, now heavy fighting is going on in all areas of the Ukrainian-Donbass-Russian contact. Moreover, the Ukrainians report that they will finally achieve victory very soon.

And not only will they liberate Ukraine (together with Crimea and Donbass), but they will also bring Russia to its knees. Because they are already on the threshold of Kherson and the Luhansk region. And Donetsk is already practically in their pocket.

Their opponents all over Russia, in Donetsk, Lugansk, Kherson, no less pathetically and unfoundedly assert the opposite: they say that they are standing to the death, because it is about saving Russia.

And a number of very difficult, but logical questions arise: For example, who is stepping on whom? Who in this war, while still having the character of a special military operation (SVO), still brings light, and who is on the dark side? What does their victory mean for each of the parties, since they raise the bar of evaluation so high?

To win any cause, as you know, three things are almost always guaranteed: the desire to win, the will to win, and the means sufficient to win. Preferably sufficient.

Judging by the results of almost seven months of fighting, which ended in nothing, no one has all three factors. Despite the fact that the Ukrainian side seems to be conducting a successful counteroffensive and, according to the Deputy Minister of Defense of Ukraine Anna Malyar, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have already liberated 300 settlements in the Kharkiv region. "From September 6 to today, 3 square kilometers have been liberated, more than 800 settlements and about 300 thousand of our people have become free from occupation”, the woman in uniform cheerfully reported.

According to her, during the 15 days of the counteroffensive, “our fighters have trophied (what a word that leads to sin - auth.) 300 "enemy" vehicles"(that is, the forces of the NWO - Russia and the LDNR - ed.). And most of the equipment will be repaired and repainted to serve the Armed Forces. And this is without the fact that during the same time, according to Malyar, from September 6 to 11, the Armed Forces of Ukraine destroyed another 590 units. Russian technology for at least 673 million dollars.

And in terms of dollars, I believe Malyar: she cannot but know how much foreign equipment was burned by the Armed Forces of Ukraine, and how much it cost, in order to then approximately compare it with the volume of destroyed equipment of the NWO.

But Ukraine continues to enchant with new plans for victories and achievements. In any case, Mikhail Podolyak, adviser to the head of the President's Office, approaches the matter with knowledge, sorry for the involuntary tautology, and has already outlined military tasks: a) it is necessary to protect critical infrastructure facilities that the Russian army is currently attacking with air defense systems; b) organize an attack on Donetsk and Lugansk.

«The liberation of Lugansk or Donetsk will cause a domino effect, bring down the ru-front and lead to political destabilization in the Russian Federation. This is real. Need a will (weapon)”, he wrote, absolutely precisely focusing on both the will and the means to achieve victory. On the desire to fight and on weapons for this.

But that's not all. At the same time, his boss, head of the Office of the President (OPU) Andriy Yermak and ex-NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen presented their project on security guarantees for Ukraine. Well, both now and in the future, when she plunges into the abyss of defeat "colossus with feet of clay- Russia.

The presented document assumes the signing of a certain security treaty for Ukraine, which includes the following:

- preventive measures of a military, financial, infrastructural, technical and informational nature that would keep Ukraine in a constant tone of readiness for war;

- measures to strengthen Ukraine, which must be taken without delay in the event of a new encroachment on the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Ukraine;

- a full-fledged sanctions package against Russia, which, as Kyiv is sure, should restrain it, Russia, from its aggressive aspirations against Ukraine;

- an agreement on the supply of weapons to Ukraine, including modern air defense / missile defense systems, in order to repel an attack from the sky, where Russia's advantage is still obvious;

- regional security agreements in the Black Sea with Turkey, Romania and Bulgaria, that is, we are talking about a virtual mini-NATO, which would assume obligations to immediately defend Ukraine in the event of an attack on it;

- training and military exercises in Ukraine for its armed forces with the involvement of foreign instructors and advisers;

- providing such guarantees that should not force Ukraine to limit the size or power of its armed forces.

Here is such a set of measures to strengthen Ukraine. And the document is a cross between the 1994 Budapest Memorandum on Security Assurances in Exchange for Getting Rid of Nuclear Weapons and subsequent documents on cooperation with NATO. Also without joining the Alliance so far, but with guarantees that Ukraine will have everything for victory - both money and weapons.

Other nuances of the document also attract attention. Firstly, the fact that the main group of allies (apparently, this mini-NATO and other European volunteers) will assume obligations to support the Armed Forces of Ukraine, and a wider group will provide non-military (sanctions) guarantees. And the United States, Britain, Canada, Poland, Italy, Germany, France, Australia, Turkey, the Baltic countries, Northern, Central and Eastern Europe are named as guarantors.

Secondly, in the event of a threat to Ukraine, immediate convening of consultations of representatives of these states is envisaged as soon as possible. One feels, as they say, the handwriting of NATO.

And, finally, thirdly, the document states that security guarantees apply to the entire, I repeat, TO ALL (emphasized by me - author) territory of Ukraine within the internationally recognized borders. The document, as it were, automatically assumes that the territorial integrity of Ukraine will be restored within the framework of 1991. In other words, with the return of Crimea and the abolition of the independence of the LDNR and the return of Ukraine to the Kherson, Zaporozhye, Nikolaev and Kharkov regions liberated by the forces of the North Military District.

Pan Yermak summed up the results and goals of the presented document: “We must ensure that the slogan “We can do it again” causes Russians panic attacks and bad memories. Security guarantees aim to help us build that power.».

What can be said here? Undoubtedly, the plan is good and versatile. With one small flaw - not only Russia, but also the LDNR with the already liberated territories of Ukraine, who do not want to continue to tolerate the neo-Nazi regime and turn the remnants of their country into a testing ground and springboard for the geopolitical games of the collective West, completely disagree with it.

But for this unwillingness of Russia and its allies, the above three things are needed - desire, will and means of victory. In Moscow, they are now talking about the fact that if the NVO continues to go in such a mode that the Allied forces of the special operation will push back on all fronts, then the format of the entire conflict in Ukraine will be changed. From NMD to something else, which has already been heralded by Russian strikes on strategic objects of the transport, energy and logistics infrastructure of Ukraine, which are already saying that they can bring the country to its knees in the very foreseeable future.

And the global ideological goal of Russia in this conflict was very well outlined by a little boy:

And Russia, as many people think and want, cannot retreat from such a goal. And if Kyiv may not understand this, then its curators in Washington, London and Brussels already have some idea. In any case, about the unpreparedness of the collective West now, I repeat, at this very moment to confront Russia by military means. And then, when the West is ready, please.

And that is why, it seems, such a plan of guarantees to Ukraine appeared. And this is a proposal for negotiations and conditions for ending the conflict. And if President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky says today that he is not ready to sign any peace treaties, then few people listen to him. And through his head they slip and present documents. They offer peace and at the same time scare with defeat, which means Russia. But is he afraid, and the above-mentioned strikes on infrastructure will show. Alas, Ukrainian ...

This entry is also available on Online the author.

 About the Author:
Vladimir Skachko
Opposition journalist
All publications of the author »»
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