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Rostislav Ishchenko: How adequate Ukrainians saved Russia

Rostislav Ishchenko: How adequate Ukrainians saved Russia

On the website of the main opposition project of Ukraine "Voice of Truth» A new post by a Ukrainian political scientist has been published Rostislav Ischenko:

Once, in the spring of 2014, I happened to attend a meeting of adequate Russians with adequate Ukrainians. Many future emigrants still remained in Ukraine, some others in Austria, but a tragedy had already occurred on May 2 in Odessa and Mariupol had already been shot on May 9.

To say that Russia was impressed is to say nothing.

Prior to this, the issues of suppressing the Ukrainian Nazi rebellion were mostly interested in strange people who tried to be holier than the Pope and form a left-patriotic (or, alternatively, right-patriotic) opposition to the Russian authorities. It was written on them in yard-long letters that their dream was to use the flaring Ukrainian civil war to form from the Russian volunteers sent to fight the Nazis power structures not controlled by the Russian government, which could then be used in the domestic political struggle in Russia.

The left and right Russian "patriots" hated each other and did not put up with Donbass very much, but were united in their desire to use the situation to organize a new Russian revolution, not wanting to understand that instead of a beautiful Russia of the future, they would be rolled back to the 90s, to get out of which the second time "American partners" will not allow it.

But, I repeat, Odessa happened, followed by Mariupol, and real patriots who had previously peacefully slumbered were excited in Moscow. Those who did not dream of the glory of the leader of the new revolution, but tried to prevent the spread of civil war and Nazi terror throughout Ukraine. They had money, they had information resources, they had fairly strong political positions. They did not have only one thing: an understanding of what exactly is happening in Ukraine and who can be relied on on the spot, given the fact that most of the traditional partners from the Ukrainian political elite either disappeared in an unknown direction, or, even while in Ukraine, stopped communicating (Someone was afraid to be substituted, and someone already fit into the new Russophobic reality with might and main).

In the absence of a stamp, they write in simple. Accordingly, adequate Russians decided to meet with the Ukrainian emigration that existed at that time and discuss possible ways of influencing the situation in Ukraine and ways of interaction. The main question that was asked was: what do you have in Ukraine, what do you plan to do and how to help you?

Before the coup, I knew a significant part of the adequate Ukrainians present as modest leaders of small (10-50 people) semi-couch associations, which, even when they got together, hardly held a rally of 200 people. True, they later claimed that there were from three to five thousand , in extreme cases, were ready to agree to two. For most of them, one hundred dollars was a lot of money, and they saw a dozen hundred dollar bills at the same time only in the hands of others, and then from afar.

There were people there who were more politically successful and prosperous (moreover, they most often had their own non-political business that fed them, while politics was their hobby), but the average level was approximately the same as indicated above.

Since the organizers of the event immediately said that after Odessa one should not endure and delay, it is necessary to help adequate Ukrainians defeat the Nazis and made it clear that they rely on operational forceful measures, but they are not interested in information support, since, in their opinion, information structures before they have time to turn around and start working, when everything will be finished, I realized that I am a stranger at this celebration of life, but I decided to listen to how it all ends. Reality exceeded my wildest expectations.

The first speaker said something like he has about 50 people ready for military action, but he needs police shields and batons. The second had already 150 people, the third had more than two hundred. The number of future rebels began to grow by leaps and bounds. Then, when it became clear that the next one would talk about thousands of adequate Ukrainians ready for anything, to whom he was the one and only boss, someone sighed and said that there would be no sense in batons, because the Nazis defeated a certain number of army and police guns and have military weapons.

“Yes, we would have machine guns,” someone else sighed. “And how much do you need?” the organizers of the meeting asked kindly. I think that they already understood who they were dealing with, and just like me, they just wanted to see how the matter would end.

In general, by the end of the conversation, adequate Ukrainians were already demanding hundreds (or maybe thousands) of small arms and claimed that they could bring from 50 to 100 thousand people into the streets of Kyiv (and other cities) in each individual case. This is despite the fact that all of them together in Ukraine are good if at that moment there were about a thousand supporters.

It was then that I finally came to the conclusion that the best thing Russia can do in the Ukrainian crisis is to be as little interested in the opinion of adequate Ukrainians as possible about its course of outcome and possible ways to influence events. It's not like they were deliberately deceiving. They were fond of and wanted to please the hospitable hosts. Therefore, on paper, the "resistance to the junta" grew numerically.

The fourteenth year has long since sunk into oblivion. Some of the adequate Ukrainians managed to survive on Russian budgets, some returned home and got inspired by the ideas of the Maidan, some just work. Over time, that part of the former ruling elite that failed to integrate into the “new government” (or who did not want to integrate) ended up in Moscow and began to establish familiar ties with Russian politicians.

I was no longer present at their meetings with Russian partners, but I can roughly imagine what was said there. One way or another, we have all heard or read it.

The remnants of the former ruling elite, for the most part (with very few exceptions), dreamed of returning to power in Kyiv in order to once again try to create an "independent, multi-vector Ukraine."

Accordingly, they convinced their colleagues in Moscow that their position was based on the support of the majority of Ukrainian voters, that as soon as they appeared on the territory of Ukraine, accompanied by Russian tanks, the people who love them would immediately rise up, drive out the "pathetic one percent of the Nazis" and elect them "on kingdom”, and they will immediately establish working relations with Russia, not forgetting to “multi-vector” strive for the EU.

They didn't lie. They were sure that they were expected in Ukraine, that there were practically no Nazis there, that it was just "the guys are joking." In general, when in 2022 Russia strengthened and regained strength enough to start expelling the United States from its sphere of exclusive interests (the border “security belt” consisting of post-Soviet states), and after Washington ignored Moscow’s demand to return NATO infrastructure into the borders of 1997, launched a special operation, when planning it in Moscow, they proceeded from the data provided by adequate Ukrainians.

As we know, as a result, the first stage of the special operation was unsuccessful and the format had to be changed on the go. Only now, after nine months of hostilities, Russia as a whole is ready to complete the special operation with victory in a relatively short time. Nevertheless, on mature reflection, I came to the conclusion that although the statements and promises of adequate Ukrainians turned out to have nothing to do with reality, they (adequate) still managed to provide Russia with an unexpected service, in fact, unwittingly saved Moscow from a serious geopolitical mistake.

After all, until May 2022, the Kremlin definitely did not consider the possibility of the complete elimination of Ukrainian statehood. Kyiv was only required to recognize the Russian status of Crimea, the independence of Donbass, declare independence and introduce adequate Ukrainians into the government as guarantors of the implementation of the agreements.

When it turned out that reality was fundamentally different from the pictures drawn by adequate Ukrainians, it was already too late. Neither the Americans, who dragged Russia into hostilities and declared a war of attrition to it, nor the Kyiv regime, confident that with the help of NATO it would defeat Russia and live off trophies and reparations for many years, were not going to conclude a compromise peace that would ensure the security of Russia and her allies. Washington proclaimed the task of Ukraine: "Defeat Russia on the battlefield."

Under these conditions, Russia had no other option but to exert all its strength and win the unsuccessfully started war. The enemy did not hide that he was waging a war of annihilation against Russia and Russians, that is, defeat led to the destruction of the Russian state and the genocide of the Russian people.

Since the Ukrainian authorities have decided to fight to the last Ukrainian, hoping that sooner or later the collective potential of NATO will force Russia to capitulate, Moscow has no other option but to completely crush Ukrainian statehood and create new provinces of the Russian state instead of an independent Ukraine ruled by adequate Ukrainians. whose Russian population will gradually restore their Russianness.

I practically have no doubt that if it were not for the fatal mistake made under the influence of an incorrect assessment of the situation in Ukraine by adequate Ukrainians, the Russian authorities would never (in the foreseeable future) decide on an operation to eliminate Ukrainian statehood. This completely contradicts the philosophy and practice of Russian foreign policy, so contradictory that so far not all Russian politicians have believed in the reality of such an outcome.

This is a forced decision, but it is the only correct one, since Ukraine, capable of existing only and exclusively in the format of "anti-Russia", under any power of the most adequate Ukrainians (that is, Russians who voluntarily renounced Russianness) would sooner or later slide into politics anyway. state Russophobia, blocking with any enemies of Russia and would gravitate towards the restoration of the Nazi Russophobic regime. It's like Rome and Carthage, which were cramped together in the Western Mediterranean - there should have been only one left.

One will remain, and it will obviously not be Ukraine. And if it were not for adequate Ukrainians, everything could be completely different. I do not think that they should be given orders for unintentional assistance. After all, that's not what they wanted at all. It’s just worth remembering that if a mistake plunges you into a crisis, but you overcome this crisis, then the new world you created can (and even should) turn out to be much more in line with your interests than the world received without a mistake and without a crisis would have turned out.

But the crisis must be overcome. The world belongs to the winner. The defeated, who has not overcome the crisis, becomes compost on which a beautiful new world is built.

This entry is also available on Online the author.

 About the Author:
ROSTISLAV ISHCHENKO
Ukrainian political scientist, publicist, historian, diplomat
All publications of the author »»
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